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120716s2012 caua b 000 0 eng |
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|a 2012028666
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|a 9780833076618 (pbk. : alk. paper)
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|a 0833076612 (pbk. : alk. paper)
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|a (OCoLC)ocn800447822
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|a UA23
|b .D2877 2012
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| 082 |
0 |
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|a 355/.033573
|2 23
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Davis, Paul K.,
|d 1943-
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| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security /
|c Paul K. Davis.
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| 264 |
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1 |
|a Santa Monica, CA :
|b RAND,
|c 2012.
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| 300 |
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|a xiii, 39 pages :
|b color illustrations ;
|c 28 cm.
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| 336 |
|
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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| 337 |
|
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|a unmediated
|b n
|2 rdamedia
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| 338 |
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|a volume
|b nc
|2 rdacarrier
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| 490 |
1 |
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|a Technical report ;
|v TR-1249-OSD
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| 504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references.
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| 505 |
0 |
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|a A cross-cutting analytic method: exploratory analysis -- The concept -- Making exploratory analysis feasible and convergent -- Start with a broad view -- Narrow the analysis for the study at hand -- Use multiresolution modeling -- Narrow to a test set of scenarios -- Use computational experiments for scenario discovery -- Strategic planning -- Uncertainty-sensitive strategic planning -- Planning specific adaptations -- Capabilities-based planning and portfolio analysis -- System thinking in strategic planning for complex adaptive systems -- Border control for drug smuggling -- Counterterrorism and counterinsurgency -- Strategic forecasting and expert elicitation -- Acquisition management -- Deciding on whether to arrange for competition -- Reducing risk by taking risk -- Reducing uncertainty by researching the facts -- Scientific cost estimation -- Logistics -- Background -- RAND's 1980's uncertainty project -- Recent developments -- Manpower -- Crisis decisionmaking -- Issues of organization and implementation -- Organizing to cope -- Anticipating organizational behavior undercutting intentions -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: the more general literature.
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| 650 |
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0 |
|a National security
|z United States
|x Planning.
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| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Interagency coordination
|z United States.
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| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Strategic planning
|z United States.
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| 650 |
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0 |
|a System analysis.
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| 830 |
|
0 |
|a Technical report (Rand Corporation) ;
|v TR-1249-OSD.
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| 948 |
|
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|a cataloged
|b h
|c 2012/8/16
|d c
|e ceaton
|f 10:03:56 am
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| 994 |
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|b TXA
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|a Texas A&M University
|b College Station
|c Sterling C. Evans Library
|d Evans: Library Stacks
|t 0
|e UA23 .D2877 2012
|h Library of Congress classification
|i unmediated -- volume
|m A14841471437
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| 998 |
f |
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|a UA23 .D2877 2012
|t 0
|l Evans: Library Stacks
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